Altus Alpha › Mispricing Lab › will-the-colorado-rockies-win-the-2026-world-series__pinnacle

Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?

sports · Klasse A · Confidence 98.00 %

Trade-Richtung

SELL YES auf Polymarket / BUY beim Pendant (Polymarket über Pendant)

Ampel-Dimensionen

Liquidität
RED
Polymarket Bid-Ask
GREEN
Match-Klasse
GREEN
Spread-Größe
RED
Persistenz
YELLOW

Polymarket

Frage
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid-Preis
0.0065
Bid / Ask
0.0060 / 0.0070 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
24.464 $
Open Interest
0 $
Auflösungsdatum
2026-10-31
Polymarket öffnen ↗

Pendant

Quelle
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.08 %
Pendant-Confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Colorado Rockies", exact)
Stand
2026-06-27 08:01 UTC

Cost-Breakdown

Polymarket Bid-Ask (% des Trades)
0.00 %
Polymarket Slippage-Annahme
1.00 %
Pendant-Cost
1.00 %

Klassifikator

Modell
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match-Klasse
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright market (World Series winner). Domain: sports. Outcome is binary (Rockies win or do not win). Resolution date aligns with end of 2026 MLB season. Pinnacle regularly offers season-long championship outrights for all MLB teams. Expected match class A: identical quantitative outcome, same resolution source (official MLB), standard resolution date for World Series completion.
Canonical Form
Colorado Rockies · Season Outright - Championship Winner · 2026-10-31

Historie

Spread-Historie (letzte 46 Snapshots, älteste zuerst):

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