Altus Alpha › Mispricing Lab › will-the-anaheim-ducks-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup__pinnacle

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0160
Bid / Ask
0.0150 / 0.0170 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$17,068
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-06-30
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-icehockey_nhl_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
2.44 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle icehockey_nhl_championship_winner outrights, vig 27.34 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "Anaheim Ducks", exact)
As of
2026-08-25 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Stanley Cup championship outright for specific team in specific season. Identical quantitative outcome, resolution date aligns with season end, NHL as authoritative source is standard. Pinnacle offers comprehensive Stanley Cup winner markets. High confidence match to Class A equivalent on Pinnacle.
Canonical form
Anaheim Ducks · Season Outright Winner · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 36 snapshots, oldest first):

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