Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Liquidity

RED

Polymarket bid-ask

GREEN

Match class

GREEN

Spread size

RED

Persistence

YELLOW

Source: pinnacle
Instrument: pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability: 1.18 %
Pendant confidence: 95.00 %
Notes: Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Baltimore Orioles", exact)
As of: 2026-06-27 08:00 UTC

Model: claude-haiku-4-5
Domain: sports
Match class: A
Confidence: 95.00 %
Reasoning: Standard MLB season outright market for 2026 World Series winner. Identical to typical Pinnacle sportsbook tournament winner market. Resolution date aligns with expected World Series completion (late October 2026). Official MLB as primary source is standard for sports betting markets. Binary outcome (win/no-win) with clear resolution criteria.
Canonical form: Baltimore Orioles · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):