Altus Alpha › Mispricing Lab › will-the-boston-bruins-win-the-2026-nhl-stanley-cup__pinnacle

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0085
Bid / Ask
0.0070 / 0.0100 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$15,521
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-06-30
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-icehockey_nhl_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
0.88 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle icehockey_nhl_championship_winner outrights, vig 27.34 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "Boston Bruins", exact)
As of
2026-08-25 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Klassische Sport-Saison-Outright-Frage für NHL Stanley Cup 2026. Identisch zu Standard-Pinnacle-Markt für Mannschafts-Meistertitel. Domain: Sports. Event-Typ: Championship Winner. Outcome ist binär (gewinnt oder gewinnt nicht). Resolution-Quelle NHL ist Standard. Auflösungsdatum eindeutig (30.06.2026, Ende der möglichen Playoff-Serie). Klasse A erwartet: Identische quantitative Größe (Outcome = 'Boston Bruins gewinnt Stanley Cup 2026'), identischer Termin, akzeptierte Quelle. Pinnacle deckt alle großen NHL Outright-Märkte ab.
Canonical form
Boston Bruins · Season Outright - Championship Winner · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 36 snapshots, oldest first):

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