Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0105
Bid / Ask
0.0100 / 0.0110 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$5,102
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
0.68 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Boston Red Sox", exact)
As of
2026-06-27 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Klassische Saison-Outright-Wette auf MLB World Series Champion. Identischer Outcome (Boston Red Sox gewinnt 2026 World Series), identisches Auflösungsdatum (Ende Oktober 2026), anerkannte Quelle (MLB.com). Pinnacle bietet standardmäßig World Series Winner Markets für alle MLB-Teams. Klasse A: keine Abweichungen zu Standard-Sportsbook-Märkten.
Canonical form
Boston Red Sox · season_outright · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):