Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0125
Bid / Ask
0.0120 / 0.0130 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$200
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
1.61 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Chicago White Sox", exact)
As of
2026-06-27 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright market for specific team championship. Identical structure to Pinnacle World Series winner markets. Resolution date aligns with expected World Series conclusion (late October 2026). Official MLB resolution source is standard and accepted by sportsbooks. No ambiguity in outcome definition or resolution criteria.
Canonical form
Chicago White Sox · Season Outright - Tournament Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):