Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0045
Bid / Ask
0.0040 / 0.0050 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$9,708
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
0.16 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "San Francisco Giants", exact)
As of
2026-06-27 08:01 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright market for World Series champion. Exact match expected on Pinnacle Sports under 'World Series Winner 2026'. Domain: sports (season tournament winner). Resolution date aligns with typical end of October 2026 World Series conclusion. Outcome is binary (Giants win or do not win). No material variations in resolution criteria or sources between Polymarket and typical sportsbook approach.
Canonical form
San Francisco Giants · season_outright · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):