Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 96.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Liquidity

RED

Polymarket bid-ask

GREEN

Match class

GREEN

Spread size

RED

Persistence

YELLOW

Source: pinnacle
Instrument: pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability: 8.78 %
Pendant confidence: 95.00 %
Notes: Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Seattle Mariners", exact)
As of: 2026-06-27 08:00 UTC

Model: claude-haiku-4-5
Domain: sports
Match class: A
Confidence: 96.00 %
Reasoning: Standard MLB season outright (World Series winner). Domain is sports - seasonal tournament winner. Pinnacle offers comprehensive MLB futures including World Series champions. Resolution date aligns with typical MLB postseason conclusion (late October 2026). Outcome is binary (Mariners win or don't win). High confidence for Class A match - this is a canonical sports betting question with straightforward resolution criteria and official MLB source.
Canonical form: MLB World Series 2026 · Season Outright - Tournament Winner · 2026-10-31

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):

2 colour changes in the tracking window.