Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0355
Bid / Ask
0.0350 / 0.0360 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$3,641
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
3.73 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Tampa Bay Rays", exact)
As of
2026-06-27 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright (World Series winner). Pinnacle covers all major sports league championship markets. Resolution source (MLB official) is universally accepted. Event date aligns with typical World Series completion window (late October 2026). No ambiguity in outcome definition or resolution criteria. Identical match expected in Pinnacle's sports book.
Canonical form
Tampa Bay Rays · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):