Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
GREEN
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.1970
Bid / Ask
0.1940 / 0.2000 (1c spread)
Volume 24h
$8,650
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-06-30
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-icehockey_nhl_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
7.56 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle icehockey_nhl_championship_winner outrights, vig 27.34 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "Vegas Golden Knights", exact)
As of
2026-08-25 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
1.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Klassische Saison-Outright-Wette auf NHL Stanley Cup Winner. Identische Größe (Vegas Golden Knights gewinnt 2026 Stanley Cup), identisches Auflösungsdatum (2026-06-30), akzeptierte Resolution-Source (NHL). Pinnacle bietet üblicherweise Stanley Cup Winner als Standard-Markt an. Klasse A erwartet: Pendant sollte mit identischem Team, Saison und Outcome auffindbar sein.
Canonical form
Vegas Golden Knights · Stanley Cup Championship Winner · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 38 snapshots, oldest first):

9 colour changes in the tracking window.