Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity

RED

Polymarket bid-ask

GREEN

Match class

GREEN

Spread size

RED

Persistence

YELLOW

Polymarket

Question: Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome: Yes
Mid price: 0.0045
Bid / Ask: 0.0040 / 0.0050 (0c spread)
Volume 24h: $14,760
Open interest: $0
Resolution date: 2026-10-31

Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source: pinnacle
Instrument: pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability: 0.78 %
Pendant confidence: 95.00 %
Notes: Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 21.39 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Washington Nationals", exact)
As of: 2026-06-27 08:01 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade): 0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption: 1.00 %
Pendant cost: 1.00 %

Classifier

Model: claude-haiku-4-5
Domain: sports
Match class: A
Confidence: 95.00 %
Reasoning: Standardisierte Sport-Saison-Outright-Wette auf Meisterschaftsgewinn (MLB World Series 2026). Identische quantitative Größe, präzises Resolving-Datum (Saison-Ende 2026), etablierte Quelle (MLB). Pinnacle deckt regulär MLB-Saisonautrights ab. Klasse A erwartet.
Canonical form: Washington Nationals · season_outright · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 46 snapshots, oldest first):